I am returning from hiatus to explore some the excitement of draft season. As we each approach or upcoming season we feel the hope and promise of championships past. But what is the right strategy to ensure success? I don't know if anyone has the right formula because after all it's fantasy and only the really players can control the stats the earn for our make believe lineups. For the first time ever I think I am hoping to earn a spot at the back of the first round of my ten man league. Besides the top two RBs I don't know who I see as having the blowup year. I guessed right with Willie Parker last year but no one is really grabbing me right now. Of course LJ could be huge but I just have so many questions about the people around him. And people love Frank Gore but he's on borrowed time and due to blow out a knee at any minute. Plus, I can't draft a guy that early that may or may not even reach double digit scores. Sure Tiki was great as a yardage monster but the only time I ever drafted him was when he fell to me in one of my leagues at the 11th pick. So the money from most people right now is on Joseph Addai. Can I see 1500 and 15 TDs from him? Absolutely! Can I see 1200 an 9 TDs because Peyton Throws for 40 scores? You bet! So if I end up at #3 I would dance with the girl who brung me here. I have gone roll tide for 5 straight years and only once did I leave feeling unsatisfied. So Shaun Alexander is my horse after LT and Jackson. I don't see anything less than 1300 and 16 TDs. That's an off year for Alexander and I'll take that all day.
But if I get my wish and get pick #8 I think I'll get huge quality at my #1 RB and my #1 or #2 WR which this year is critical because I don't see nearly as much depth at the #1 WR spot. In a perfect work Alexander gets overlooked and falls to me but that is not likely so if I get Parker or the playoff friendly schedule of Rudi Johnson at 8 and then pull Smith or Holt on the way back I'll be happier than a sailor in a Thai whore house.
I'll be finding ou my draft slot soon so I'll be back to piss and moan about how I got screwed and ask for guidance from the 2 people that read this blog and think it sucks. Go Patriots!
Tuesday, July 17, 2007
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